When Korns “Blind” blares from Petco Parks speakers in the top of the ninth inning, the opponent knows the game is over because Mason Miller is coming into the game.
The lights around the ballpark flash on and off while the music blares, moments before Miller turns the lights off on whichever unfortunate hitters have to face him.
The 27-year-old Pittsburgh native has been a different kind of dominant so far this season. In he has a 1-0 record with a 0.00 ERA, recording eight saves in 11.1 innings pitched. He has allowed just four baserunners to start the season, yielding just two singles and two walks.
What makes Millers scoreless start to the season even more impressive? He has faced 38 batters and struck out 27 of them, good for an otherworldly 71.1% strikeout percentage. He averages 21.4 strikeouts per nine innings pitched.
Yet, even if Miller keeps up his video game-like start to the season, does he have a realistic chance to win the Cy Young? Highly unlikely.
The Padres closer currently has the fifth-shortest odds to win the NL Cy Young, according to Draftkings.
So, what does Miller have to do to feasibly have a chance to win the NL Cy Young? Something not seen before.
First, lets look back at the previous nine relievers to win the .
Mike Marshall, Dodgers, 1974
Sparky Lyle, , 1977
Bruce Sutter, Chicago Cubs, 1979
Rollie Fingers, , 1981
Willie Hernandez, , 1984
Steve Bedrosian, Philadelphia Phillies, 1987
Mark Davis, Padres, 1989
Dennis Eckersley, for the then-, 1992
Eric Gagné, Dodgers, 2003
We can safely rule out Marshall (208 innings pitched), Lyle (137 innings pitched), Sutter (101.1 innings pitched), and Hernandez (140.1 innings pitched) as comparisons because Miller will not pitch nearly as many innings this season. Miller is on pace to throw roughly 81 innings this season.
Millers projected 81 innings falls in line with the other five relievers. Fingers threw 78 innings, Bedrosian threw 89, Davis threw 92.2, Eckersley threw 80, and Gagne threw 82.1.
Bedrosian had a 2.83 ERA in his year, but Miller will have to pitch better than that to win the award. Paul Skenes, who won the 2025 NL Cy Young, was 10-10 with a 1.97 ERA in 187.2 innings pitched in 32 starts.
Skenes, the odds-on favorite at the time of this writing, currently has a 3-1 record in five starts with a 3.27 ERA in 22 innings pitched. His ERA is inflated because he allowed five runs and only recorded two outs against the New York Mets on Opening Day. In the four starts since, he has allowed just three runs.
So, lets look further into Davis, Eckersley, and Gagnés cases.
Davis, in 62 games, had a 4-3 record, 44 saves, and a 1.85 ERA with 92 strikeouts in 92.2 innings.
Eckersley, in 69 games, had a 7-1 record, 51 saves, and a 1.91 ERA with 93 strikeouts in 80 innings.
Gagné, in 77 games, had a 2-3 record with 55 saves and a 1.20 ERA with 137 strikeouts in 82.1 innings pitched.
All of those seasons are incredible, but if they happened in 2026, they probably wouldn’t win the Cy Young. Baseball has changed too much since when they won.
The two main differences between eras are the innings in which starting pitchers throw and the quantity of elite relievers in todays game.
In 2003, 20 pitchers threw over 200 innings. Last season, only four pitchers threw over 200 innings, making starting pitchers who are both a) able to throw 185-200 innings and b) with a high one and low two ERA more valuable nowadays than they were then.
Combine that with more relievers coming out of the bullpen firing 100+ mph fastballs with wipeout off-speed stuff, it makes Miller not as much of an outlier as he would have been 25 years ago. No reliever is dominating quite like he is this season, but many arent too far off.
closer Riley O’Brien has a 0.00 ERA in 12 games with six saves in 12.1 innings pitched with 14 strikeo
